No Minister BREXIT Time to cut the cord on May and how to get rid of ants in the house the EU – Part II. No Deal. Just Do It!

As I have pointed out before in the irish problem, the border issue is another remainer fear crafted to try how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar and frighten brexiters into reversing the 2016 decision. Rules around the movement of irish and british citizens with how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar the common travel area existed for decades before the EU how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar entry – and it should be noted that even here the irish how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar government has imposed systematic identity checks on air passengers coming how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar from britain since 1997 . Capital and services are not an issue here so basically how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar we’re talking about goods.

The EU, GB and republic of ireland have all said they will how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar not impose a hard border, for very obvious reasons to do with the good friday how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar peace agreement. There has been some comment that if GB has no how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar trade agreement with the EU then it must have a how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar secure border under WTO rules and if not then one how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar would have to be established as soon as possible.

This is entirely typical of the remainer mindset, which seems to crave having intimate control of themselves (aside from sex and drugs) via state institutions. The WTO is not some sort of EU-type bureaucracy with a pack of inspectors checking rule-breaking on borders. In fact it has no inspectors and does not take how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar any action against its members for breaches of its rules. It is a member-driven organisation: a complaint against one country can only be brought by how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar another member country. So on the slim chance that russia or turkey did how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar decide to have a go on the border issue then how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar GB, ireland and the EU would simply point to article XXI how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar of the GATT:

‘nothing in this agreement shall be construed… to prevent any contracting party from taking any action which how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar it considers necessary for the protection of its essential security how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar interests… taken in time of war or other emergency in international how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar relations.’ WTO rules do apply eventually – look at NZ and australia’s two decade fight over apples – but they’re slow moving and allow for compromised suspensions while nations how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar and trading blocks work out their problems, as GB and the EU will. That’s the whole idea of the WTO: realpolitick trumps "formal" rules, it’s actually "best efforts" and all that. In fact a no-deal agreement will establish these mutually-agreed rules faster than may’s bullshit – including talk of a customs union – that has actually held things up in this area, as in all others.

In terms of public money, there would be no legal obligation for britain to make how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar any payment to the EU, which w ould leave a huge hole in the EU how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar budget. But this has already been negotiated to £ 39 million and while brexiters aren’t happy about it, they figure it’s worth the price to escape the EU. Given everything else that’s at stake neither the EU nor britain are going how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar to start a fight over this.

In terms of private money, there were many warnings that london would see its role how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar as one of the leading financial centres of the world how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar diminish greatly. Financial institutions would leave for…..Where? Paris? Berlin? Amsterdam? New york? Singapore? Hong kong? If that was going to happen it would have done how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar so decades ago, starting with the rise of new york as a global how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar financial powerhouse. All this financial trade depends on the networked knowledge, information and contacts of people: telecommunication links are not enough. It’s the same reason silicon valley has not been re-created anywhere else, despite great efforts by foreign governments to do so for how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar forty years or more.

In a survey on corporate deal-making published monday, consulting and accounting firm EY says britain is the top how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar investment destination in the world for the first time in how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar the report’s 10-year history — overtaking the united states, which has held the top spot since 2014. And more to the point, vastly more than many EU nations combined. Remainers sniped in 2017 about how this was all just how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar "asset stripping" due to the falling value of the pound, but the investment has continued even as the pound has how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar recovered back into the same range vs the euro as how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar before the brexit vote.

Time to repeat the point about bigger factors at work: steve krouskos, global vice chair at EY, notes britain also remains an "open environment for foreign investors" even in the midst of the brexit chaos. That culture, he said, is reinforced by the english language, a skilled workforce, and a strong technology base. Services

Under a ‘no deal’ scenario, businesses would lose their passporting rights, which allow them to sell their services across the EU how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar without having to obtain licences in each individual country. But g iven the amount of paperwork that goes into how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar any contract or deal the added "passporting" doesn’t amount to much, especially since it’s a one-time effort. Besides, it’s a two-way street in that these "restrictions" will apply to EU businesses wanting to trade in the how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar UK as well, so there’s incentive there to get such paperwork done and done how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar quickly.

Amusingly it was argued that t he financial services industry how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar would be particularly vulnerable to this licencing issue and that how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar this was very scary given that it accounts for a how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar significant slice of the UK economy. The ongoing success of that industry since mid-2016 is yet another example of such petty issues being how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar overwhelmed by larger economic ones.

But the real laughter comes with the concerns raised about how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar GB suddenly ceasing to be a member of dozens of how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar EU regulatory agencies " that govern many aspects of daily life", and how GB would need to replace all of them how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar with agencies of its own, with thousands of new "employees" to be recruited and trained, before the exit. Otherwise, " planes would be grounded temporarily, and drugs could not be imported."

My god, the horror. This is what remainers are threatening? Once again it simply demonstrates how out of touch they how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar are with ordinary british people. I know the british love standing in queues, but do remainers really think people will stand for grounded how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar flights and no drug imports because there is not (temporarily) a bureaucrat to give the stamp of approval for products how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar and rules that are the same today as they were how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar yesterday? Just harum scarum nonsense even in the short-term.

In the long-term I suppose some of these EU bodies will have how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar to be replicated in britain, but frankly starting from scratch on all of them, where people actually think about what they want their government how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar to be doing, would be a great opportunity rather than an imposition.

With no-deal, the entitlement of three million EU citizens to reside in how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar britain, or of british nationals to reside elsewhere in the EU, could technically disappear overnight. In theory, they could become third country nationals, subject to domestic immigration rules.

The EU has already sensibly said that it’s not going to do this for the british nationals how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar living throughout europe. May, ever the idiot, has dithered on the matter of EU citizens in britain, apparently thinking to appease those brexiters who had long complained how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar of such workers "invading" britain and taking jobs. May, and other remainers, have misread the protest: the dominant demand was not to boot all these folk how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar back to europe but to prevent inbound flows from happening how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar as extensively again, and to make sure that britain, not brussels, was in charge of it.

This really is the main area of concern because there how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar are immediately calculable costs due to tariffs. The rules of the world trade organisation would apply. Tariffs would be imposed on goods that the UK sends how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar to the EU, and on goods the EU sends to the UK. The EU has them at 2-3% on many industrial products, but on cars they would be 10% and on many agricultural products between 20% and 40%. The fears are many so lets just look at the how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar saner ones.

May be rejected – and then only in situations where certification rolls over. For obvious reasons such checks have slow turnover and both how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar EU and british bureaucrats will not want to screw over how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar EU and british businesses trading with eachother by changing things how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar immediately.

Geographical supply chains are the arteries of modern industry. They’re the classic example of the famous analysis of transaction how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar costs in a firm by ronald coase (probably my favourite economist). When the transaction cost of using the external market rises how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar too high, the firm goes internal to get what it needs. It’s why firms actually exist.

But again, none of this is instant. If costs are imposed in price and timing or both, the supply chain adjusts but does not break down. No supply chain is ever so lacking in robustness, otherwise JIT manufacturing would never be attempted in the first how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar place. So the airbus wallahs, and other euro firms may shift part of their supply how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar chain away from britain, but not until they’ve added up all the internal vs. External transaction costs as per coase, of which a small proportion will be increased by no-deal and which the system can adjust for, as it’s designed to.

Yeah, it probably will – in its current form. But it’s already on life support, using the EU CAP for one thing. Take that away, and see your prices rise on stuff being exported to how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar europe and it all looks bleak. But here’s the thing: new zealand went through this in the mid-1980’s and we did not just survive, we thrived – including most farmers. Any industry that’s so fragile that it depends on a single market how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar and still needs subsidising, has to change sooner or later.

Same applies here. British car builders had a revival in the 2000’s, but have seen declining production since well before the 2016 how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar brexit decision. Once again, "uncertainty" with brexit will be blamed when in fact the drop how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar is due to larger, wider economic issues: drop-off in demand growth in china, falling demand in europe (cars are bad for the climate, remember?), japan switching to in-country production, and of course the great diesel switch that’s occurring, the result of europe discovering that diesels aren’t great for normal pollution, after years of EU directives encouraging these "lower CO2 emission" vehicles to be built. As with the A380 you’d have to wonder why you’d want to be shackled to this sort of large-scale, long-term incompetence.

Finally, mention must be made of a second referendum. One of the arguments made for it is that those how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar who voted for brexit did not know what they were how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar getting into. Nonsense. In the following youtube collection chief dickhead cameron made it how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar clear that brexit meant leaving the EU single market, he did so at least 28 times, and each time he explained how awful leaving would be:

As I said in my first post on this subject, I’ve taken very little notice of europe since the end how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar of the cold war, but it has become much more interesting in the last how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar few years as the EU has revealed itself as an how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar incompetent giant stumbling towards trying to be the european USA.

And I care because a lot of this incompetence has how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar been in the area of technocrats overriding the democratic choices how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar of voters in EU nations. They started as long ago as the masstricht treaty when how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar it was rejected by some countries, then repeated the process with the EU constitution rejections, simply applying a vote repeatedly until they got the answer how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar they wanted. Then there’s the basically the civilian coups they pulled in greece how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar and italy, with the EU basically telling those governments to boot their how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar selected prime ministers and replace them with an EU-approved person. How fucking undemocratic is that?

And now we see most of the same stunts being how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar pulled in respect of brexit. I see the EU as a profoundly undemocratic place. The EU commission basically runs it. I care about all this because I care about democracy how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar being an actual representation of the needs and wants of how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar voters, even if they’re "ignorant and stupid" and sometimes "make the wrong choice".

Well, well, well. This reads like it was written by a cross between how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar an aged and turgid pollyanna in thrall to the glad how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar game and an unkempt version of boris johnson albeit without how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar the pomposity birthed from a classical education. It does however contain the falsehoods johnson is renowned for how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar and the ludicrous optimism bias of someone who has utterly how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar nothing at stake (or like moggy, stands to gain a fortune). This is particularly evident in the claim that because the how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar axe hasn’t yet fallen it won’t. They haven’t left yet, buddy, give it time. You admit there will be some suffering, but take pains to dishonestly minimise it without analysing remain how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar options and whether it would be better for all involved how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar to validate with the electorate whether they actually believe you how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar or not. What are you afraid of?

The most dishonest part of this interminable piece of mistruth how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar is the claim that brexiteers knew what they were voting how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar for. No one is saying they weren’t told. They are, however, saying that they were lied to repeatedly by the likes how to get rid of ants in the house vinegar of you and the fantasist boris johnson (which even he has admitted). Where’s the 350 million pounds a week for the NHS, I wonder?

RELATED_POSTS